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I'm actually hoping warming slows down a bit. I don't want my spring fishing trip interrupted by early hatching blackflies!
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March 20th using the Canoe Lake standard. March 25th using the Opeongo standard.
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That's the earliest prediction yet! Maybe...
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Bo used to say that 5 days with lows above freezing was enough for the ice to go out. I'm not sure that's quite enough in a normal year but I don't think it's too thick anywhere this year do I won't be surprised if it is out by the end of March break.
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RobW wrote:
Bo used to say that 5 days with lows above freezing was enough for the ice to go out. I'm not sure that's quite enough in a normal year but I don't think it's too thick anywhere this year do I won't be surprised if it is out by the end of March break.
Fingers crossed. I think I'll dust off the boats today just in case.
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Holy crap.. that early? I guess that makes sense because last year we didn't see weather like this until the end of April almost. I need to start getting my gear ready, haven't even touched any of my gear or canoe since my last trip on Boxing day
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April 20th is my guess.
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I'm also interested in predicting the black flies. Hopefully they hold off to mid-May still.
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Holy crap.. that early? I guess that makes sense because last year we didn't see weather like this until the end of April almost. I need to start getting my gear ready, haven't even touched any of my gear or canoe since my last trip on Boxing day
That's about as indicative of a record breaking ice-out as anything I've heard yet - canoeing on Boxing Day!
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I think RobW may be be dead on.
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I think RobW may be be dead on.
That would be a first. ;-) And technically it's not a valid prediction since I had earlier predicted March 15th in another discussion. 
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I really hope you guys are right! I still have a week of holidays that I have yet to book.. Maybe I'll take an additional week in April. ;-)
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I really hope you guys are right! I still have a week of holidays that I have yet to book.. Maybe I'll take an additional week in April. ;-)
The weather is certainly making me rethink my plans. I thought I would backpack the Highlands in March, but now I think I'll build brownie points and canoe trip in April instead of May
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I remember the last time the ice went out as early as the likely ice out this year and the bugs weren't an issue on opening week. I remember I was on my way to my parents cottage on the French River and I stopped in Parry Sound for a Coffie and got swarmed. That was two days prior to entering the park in late April but inside the park it was fine. Perhaps the higher elevation helps. I say April 1 ice out.
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It seems like they changed the forecast and now it's supposed to be a bit colder than previously predicted. I kind of have my doubts about the Park being ice free in March. My guess is early April.
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Opeopngo ice-out: April 18, and hopefully the blackflies won't notice until May 18th. 
Barbara
Last edited by Barbara (3/12/2016 10:48 am)
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I'm sticking with April 1st. The lakes sure looked punky yesterday and the forecast is still saying above normal temps. March is still a strong possibility, especially if we get rain on Monday.
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