Ecologically speaking, every lake is an island. Yes, northern pike and lake trout coexist in many lakes, but every lake offers a different set of conditions. Even within those physical parameters, fish populations in each lake are adapted to coexistence with the other species that are native to that lake. Little quirks like the exact timing of the spawn explain why (for example) muskie coexist with pike in some waters, exclude pike in others, and are excluded by pike in still others. The introduction of a new species to a lake can devastate the locally native species even if the same species coexist in other lakes, or it might not... brook trout have done much better coexisting with introduced smallies in Ragged Lake, for example, than in other APP lakes with introduced bass.
For what it's worth, the Fishing in Algonquin Provincial Park booklet predicts the following impacts if pike make it into Opeongo (my paraphrasing):
- Pike will transmit a harmful parasite to whitefish
- Lake trout will be forced away from the shallow littoral areas that they use for feeding during cold seasons, which will stunt their growth
- The few brook trout left in Opeongo will become even more insignificant in number and impossible to restore
- Pike are better at getting through shallow water barriers than bass, so from Opeongo they could get into unspoiled trout lakes in the watershed that don't have bass yet
- Smallmouth bass would be heavily impacted through competition and predation (though of course they're introduced as well so take your pick)
PaPaddler, thanks for pointing out the bird feet pathway. Park literature and management seems to focus on anglers being the way fish like pike get transferred over dams, hence the fishing prohibitions around dams and stuff... but to be honest I have some trouble believing that people would actually catch a pike, carry it up a portage trail around a dam, and release it on the other side... AND it survives this whole ordeal... AND this happens enough times within a pike's lifetime to establish a breeding population on the other side. But maybe folks have seen it happen? I've wondered if eagles and ospreys dropping their catch could be a factor.